Well here it is almost mid september. Usually at this time of year things are starting to crank up.
talk of corn and bean harvest........getting ready to plant wheat..........etc...........
BUT
nope....not as much this year.
rain.......we have wheat fields not even worked once since harvest......just been too wet.
was out woddling thru the milo looking for sugar cane aphids and headworms....was walking in mud
looking at beans for the clover worm......found them, rather they have found the beans....need to do the numbers
on spraying. again......a swamp.......
thunderstorms and severe wx on way today.........then again next week.
been trying to figure all this out.........and i think ive come to the conclusing that.......it's a bloody mess
and i can't see any bright spots for a while.........
wheat..........there is no money in south america from what i'm told..you can't even barrow it..........so how are you going to get
the expensive corn or soybean seed ? wheat is cheap, and doesnt require any fertilizer......plus, to make things worse, i
guess the export tax has been taken off corn and wheat, but left on beans.....thus incentive to plant wheat and corn.
onto mother russia....rumor has it, big companys in charge now, and they want to plant, they can produce 3 TIMES what
they do now, easy..........
so what's ya do....
i have talked to several grain companies, and nobody would give me a quote for the 2017 milo/soybean crop....finally got one.
look at these numbers.....and figure out what you would do:
NEW CROP 2017
Wheat $ 3.70
soybeans 8.82 (locally is usually 20 under terminal) so local is 8.62
milo 3.11 terminal......local is usually 15 under terminal..so local is 2.96
here we are dryland corn mostly......and county t1 is 60 bu........but i just don't understand the huge increase in dryland
corn acres.......granted inputs are lower than what i have seen for watered corn, but still, if you are planting at 20,000
your still looking at about 45 an acre for seed......at least 35 for fert and at least 35 for a restable herbicide program.
throw in 35 for operations cost...then insurance etc.....i worry with margins like that, plus you don't get a rain, you are
sunk.....and i've seen corn dry up to nothing and have ears that look like popcorn.
i guess you could go open pollionated......that would bring seed cost down to $20 an acre.......but no modern stuff at all,
not even glyphos !!!
so.........what's we do ????
and from what i have a feeling.....the above prices i said might be "good levels".....imagine having to somehow lock in
the above......
eagle eye...........got any job openings ???????????
