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sdholloway56
Esteemed Advisor

Might be hard to top 180

for a national yield if the NW 15% or so is sharply trimmed,

Might depend on what happens to the next 15% as you move SE.

On balance the rest looks like it will enter July with record potential.

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10 Replies
Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: Might be hard to top 180

You're flailing in the wind..

Do you actually work for the USDA yield guessing team as your day job?

From 0 to .25 for most of drought areas is a whiff and a miss so far.

BA Deere
Honored Advisor

Re: Might be hard to top 180

Our 70% chance of a 1.25" was a bust (no surprise)...but not to worry 3 days of 30% chances of ???  ahead, after that hot & dry (somehow I figure the weatherman has the hot & dry part down accurately).

Headed for SW Mn and NW Ia  where they reportedly have it worse.  take I-90 out and bring back highway 9 to avoid Worthington eastbound scale and report back later.   FWIW I`ve never seen it drier in front of pollination, uncharted territory perhaps some zeroed out fields when all said and done?  If Jeanie or Samantha blinks and we catch a rain, we`ll get our 200, if no the heart is cut out of the cornbelt and I don`t see anything like a "180 national yield".  

Meaghan Anderson tweeted about hail in Polk, Warren & Dallas counties.

https://twitter.com/mjanders1/status/1407766818488569862

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roarintiger1
Honored Advisor

Re: Might be hard to top 180

It still has to make 100 before it can get to 180.

Folks also think that the corn acres are going to be much higher. Well, guess where that increase of acres comes from?   That would be the fringe acres. And you don’t have to tell those guys who farm the fringe acres why they are called the fringe acres. Believe me......they know. 

dwillinois
Senior Contributor

Re: Might be hard to top 180

Im in central Illinois they are predicting 4-6 inches with locally heavier amounts of over 7-10 I'm not talking snow here either that's not great conditions to have record potential to go into July and western Illinois is not in good shape already. 

Anyone else notice massive Chinese soy sales the last week,  ever since the announcement of their crackdown a month or so ago on commodity hoarding (whatever that is) corn has lost a buck and beans another couple but then buy massive amounts only to have the ccp propaganda wing here in the media and on chat boards tell us all is well.

Now get back to seeing if Don JR is on the deck of one of those Russian battleships off the coast of Hawaii because we know the chi coms are A ok and have everything here under control.

 

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sdholloway56
Esteemed Advisor

Re: Might be hard to top 180

Yes, IL and IN not overpaying the preacher will be important.

Tomorrow/Satccoverage along the dry fringe also.

 

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Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: Might be hard to top 180

https://www.cocorahs.org/Maps/ViewMap.aspx?state=Ia

 

7 am 24 hour totals

Click on any county with a dot

Go to menu bar and select any state.

Try Minn, SD, ND

Those 3 are a major soy region, AND historically a few BILLION bu of corn too. See any big widespread #'s?

BTW, how about the north 1/2 of Iowa?  Or just just top 3 rows of counties.

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Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: Might be hard to top 180

http://www.soybeansandcorn.com/news/Jun24_21-Corn-Prices-in-Goias-Decline-in-Anticipation-of-Harvest

Never let a opportunity to take advantage to go to waste.

Some water back on fields here, .95 this morning. Last 6 day total 4.31" , BA would gladly have given you this morning's precipitation.  The bottoms do better at 10% too dry as opposed to any% too wet.

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Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: Might be hard to top 180

Northern Iowa, Minnesnowta, North Dakota, and South Dakota have this potential...

http://www.soybeansandcorn.com/news/Jun24_21-Drought-Severely-Impacted-Safrinha-Corn-in-Northern-Par...

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BA Deere
Honored Advisor

Re: Might be hard to top 180

SWMN and NWIA aren`t as rough as I thought, actually par for the course, brown lawns but decent crops as always.  Dutchmen hauling manure and strip tilling on $18,000 ground, it better be a good crop 🙂    I-90 crops look better than highway 9, because of lighter soil on that corridor.   These corn and beans, non-irrigated, Lyon county...pretty damn good.