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Honored Advisor

Mother Nature's Way

Most farmers on this site know about Mother Natures sense of humor and the fact that

She is in charge.

 

Most times she has a way of fouling up the best laid plans of Men and Mice. Take last year for example... Started out as the fastest paced spring in many a moon. What happened then you ask?  Well many planted maybe the better part of a month early. How'd that work out? Well lots of replant and crops too far along for the late season rains that followed one of the hottest and driest mid summers in decades.

 

She has a way of being average by extremes...

 

OK last year for most was 2 hot,  2 dry, for 2 long. That is a number 6

The problem I see coming is to get a nice average 'ol Ma Nature needs

to be 2 wet, 2 cool, 2 long, for most of us. (she might not be done with that other #6 deal for some out west).

 

After a long wet cool spring we will get a cool summer with decreased heat units and crop dry down issues, harvesting delays due to mud, and a early frost event as bonus points. Just a reverse mirror image of last year, still a # 6.

 

Don't you just love averages and the view from my Harbor Freight Crystal ball?

 

 

 

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9 Replies
Senior Contributor

Re: Mother Nature's Way

Since we are talking about Mother Nature.  When the big California earthquake hits, How much will the grain markets fall?  Should I sell now or wait?  Please use your Crystal ball.  The light in mine broke after I threw it against the wall.

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Senior Contributor

Re: Mother Nature's Way

    Nice post Hobby,averages are what the powers that be(the trade) need for a trend line,however almost all need to have that average to better croping condition>Is it ever going to happen again,probably yes,but this year for some reason still seams a little strange for all to hit near trend,or even close to trend.I guess I am to much of a beleiver in good sub soil conditions!

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Senior Contributor

Re: Mother Nature's Way

Mother nature is having her way in North East Wis.  There is a great amount of ponding or flooding on wheat and alfalfa fields.  Frost still in the ground and damage will be done.  Last fall the wheat and hay fields looked very good. 

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Veteran Advisor

Re: Mother Nature's Way

hobby,

I hear you --this winter's been completely different--trend is wet now, no doubt....and the long range guys were NOT forecasting hot/dry summer last yr. even when the TREND was dry/warm..

 

So your thinking they're wrong again w/ forecasting hot/dry this coming summer?

 

i suppose they could be using the fore-historical-model 

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Veteran Advisor

Re: Mother Nature's Way

Hobby I think I got the USDA government issued crystal ball. It predicted a great weather year, 163 bu yield and fall prices well below cost of production for 2 years now. I like your crystal ball better LOL!

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Honored Advisor

I'm surprised the Euro Union would allow this...

Snow Ties Up European Planes, Trains, Roads

March 12, 2013

By Angela Charlton, The Associated Press
 
PARIS - Frankfurt's airport closed, trains stopped running under the English Channel, and the French army was ordered to help clear roads - all because of a sudden dump of oddly late snowfall on Western Europe.

 

 

 

Less prepared for the kind of heavy snow that regularly hits northern and eastern neighbors, France, Germany, Britain and Belgium struggled Tuesday to keep moving amid the frosty, blustery conditions.

 

 

 

Instead of enjoying the onset of spring, travelers shivered in stranded cars, packed onto icy train platforms, or languished in airport waiting halls. Thousands of schoolchildren stayed home. Tens of thousands of homes were without electricity.

 

 

 

Frankfurt airport, Europe's third busiest, closed at midday after recording about 5 inches of snow. More than 355 had been cancelled by mid-afternoon.

 

 

 

The airport reopened one of its four runways only for take-offs after a brief respite in the snowfall - but the snow then resumed. And it's unclear how much longer the other three runways would remain closed.

 

 

 

North of Frankfurt, the A45 autobahn was shut down after more than 100 cars and trucks crashed in a pileup near Muenzenberg. Police said dozens of people were injured but that no deaths were reported.

 

 

 

At Paris' Orly Airport, a Tunisair jet skidded off the runway because of icy conditions, according to the airport authority. No one was injured but the incident caused even further delays at an airport that has suffered cancellations and problems all day.

 

 

 

Airport screens flashed with red warnings after the French civil aviation authority ordered about 300 flights - a quarter of the day's total - canceled out of Paris' Charles de Gaulle Airport. Other airports around northern France were closed, and Brussels airport was forced to operate on a single runway.

 

 

 

Service on the Eurostar trains that go under the English Channel was suspended mid-morning because severe weather in northern France and Belgium forced operators to close sections of the railway, said Eurostar spokeswoman Lucy Drake. As the snow continued to fall into the afternoon, service was suspended for the rest of the day, Eurostar later confirmed on its website. Other high-speed train services around the region were also halted.

 

 

 

The French army was called in to help as civilian authorities struggled to clear roads and rescue people stuck in cars and buses on snowed-in roads, notably in Normandy, Prime Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault said on RTL radio.

 

 

 

With up to 19 inches of snowfall in some areas of northern France, the government urged people to stay home unless absolutely necessary.

 

 

 

Office buildings in the French capital - like those in the European Union's capital, Brussels - were only partly full. The French train network SNCF urged commuters in the Paris region to stay home Tuesday instead of trying to reach downtown "because of the unfavorable evolution of weather conditions."

 

 

 

In southeastern England, snow and ice stranded hundreds of motorists as temperatures plunged to as low as minus 27 Fahrenheit, and many motorists abandoned their cars. Traffic backed up for 30 miles in some spots, with reports of people being stranded for 10 hours or more.

 

 

 

Among those stuck was a group of 120 German students who had to stay overnight in the town hall at Hastings on the south coast of England when families set to pick them up could not reach them.

 

 

 

Police in Sussex reported responding to more than 300 auto collisions in 24 hours because of slippery roads but no serious injuries were reported.

 

 

 

Belgium had a record 994 miles of traffic jams during morning rush hour as snowdrifts turned roads slippery and reduced vision. A strong wind made conditions even tougher. Thousands of commuters were left stranded on snowed-in platforms after many trains around the region were canceled.

 

 

 

Snow affected even the workings of government and the royal palace: The start of budgetary negotiations within Belgium's governing coalition was delayed, and Prince Lorenz was unable to travel to Maastricht, the Netherlands, to visit a historical exhibition.

 

 

 

Even the U.S. Embassy in Brussels closed for the day `'due to the continued weather conditions."

 

 

 

Under the Eiffel Tower, two Canadian tourists were among those braving the soggy chill.

 

 

 

"It's cold. Really cold," Heidi Nelson of Toronto said.

 

 

 

A fellow visitor from Toronto, Laura Martin, added: "Yes, kind of like Canada."
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Honored Advisor

South Podunk Country's near term official forecast

Today30% Chance Snow Shower

Hi: 34 °F

Partly sunny. Scattered snow showers in the late morning and afternoon. Patchy blowing snow in the afternoon. Breezy

 

Tonight

Partly Cloudy

Lo: 16 °F

Partly cloudy. Low 15 to 20. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph

 

I wouldn't mind a day that the airconditioner needed to turn on once,

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Veteran Advisor

Re: South Podunk Country's near term official forecast

Hobby - How's your river doing?  For the first time since last June there is water flowing in the county ditch that runs thru our farm. (SCMN)  All surface runoff since it will take some time for the ponds to work thru the frost and get to the tile.  We got about .6" of rain last Friday/Saturday which sure took the snow down.  Much more towards Rochester.

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Honored Advisor

Re: South Podunk Country's near term official forecast

Was up to 2/3 full day before yesterday but this cold weather has helped and it has dropped 3+ feet. Lots of the 4 to 5 inch think ice melted or broke up and that helped too.

 

Supposed to warm up and I am planning on tapping quite a few more maple trees along the river bank Going to be interesting getting to them with the 4 wheeler. Tree juice boiled down is a little slice of heaven on earth.

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