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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

NW heat dome

in the forward ensembles moves back west for a while, then showing a partial shift back east out in days 14-16.

This is the fiercest heat dome in recorded history.

It isn’t likely to move over the corn belt this year. 

But in some not too distant year, we’re quite likely to see one that makes ‘88 or ‘12 look like a balmy day.

Bring it on! $50 beans!

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6 Replies
BA Deere
Honored Advisor

Re: NW heat dome

Traders that want to be like Wayne Gretzky and "skate to where the puck is going to be" might want to start poppin` tags for the 2022 crop year.   What`s "hurting us" in north Iowa and west is we were dry starting a year ago and started the spring with a empty moisture tank (unusual) .  We could all get hit next year and on to Elywnn`s "2025 big one" 

So far 2021`s narrative is those of us that normally laugh at the drought weren`t equipped going into it and the light soil southern Iowa Illinois and Indiana guys been lucky getting the timely 5" rains to get them feeling 10 foot tall & bulletproof.   This is both a supply & demand market (rare)  unless we get recharge moisture (not in the cards) 2022 could be the midst of the big one.  The Illinois guys wouldn`t be cocky had they missed a couple of their 4" rains. 

And this year isn`t over, flash droughts can occur after July 4th, it ain`t in the bank yet.   The video Hobbyfarmer shared the other day explained forecasts over 14 days are basically educated guesses and has been that way since the 1940s.  I recall 1987 was a bearcat dry year for this area, but we were better prepared for the 1988 drought that so many recall as the "bad one"...limiting tillage, cutting population, selecting hybrids for drought ect

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roarintiger1
Honored Advisor

Re: NW heat dome

“It’s difficult to make predictions……especially about the future.”

rsbs
Veteran Advisor

Re: NW heat dome

guys, over by new richland MN I saw something this summer I had not seen since 1988...a southern mn field planted with "listers". I think that is the name for it.....when you have a row harrow that digs a trench in front of the seed disks to allow you to plant deep but not cover the soybean seeds too deeply.

I believe that is something used in sugar beet country.

Tells you how dry it already is in some spots.

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ddtfarm1
Veteran Contributor

Re: NW heat dome

No cockiness here in this "I" state, just feeling fortunate so far this season.  

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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: NW heat dome

Reading other peoples’ often justified anxiety over their own crops- or sometimes just vain attempts to jawbone the market higher- can be hazardous to your financial health.

BTW- 3 day weekends can be tough but there were pretty strong hints that the ridge was pulling back on Friday.

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nitefarm
Advisor

Re: NW heat dome

I was wondering how much rain some you guys have had in the last few days and where you are located?Here in western Ky we have had from 3/4-1.5 in the last week. Thanks 

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