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ShelladyOptions
Senior Contributor

OptionEye.....Oct. 15th

Good morning.

 

Government shutdown has us very quiet again this morning. With the holiday yesterday in most other markets saw our volumes very thin.

 

Spent the weekend in NW Illinois and the weather could not have been better. Beautiful autumn colors. Well worth the trip. Stories out of the fields were better than expected as well. We will have to wait to see that the government thinks.

 

Stocks are up just a tad this morning after last weeks rise. The 10 year yield has risen to 2.71% and gold has fallen to $1260.26 which is down $12.13. Oil is down as well to $101.67 down .74 cents.

 

We again will be watching the talking heads debate a default. It is not going to happen. If our legislators think they have a lot to worry about with Obamacare and the debt ceiling if they let the government default they will have a TON more to worry about and Obamacare and the debt debate will be the least of their problems. That is why they will not let it happen.

 

Getting down to crunch time and the markets will be dangerous. As we get closer and closer to the government running out of money I say 'Hey, didn't we run out of money $17 trillion dollars ago?'

 

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5 Replies

Re: OptionEye.....Oct. 15th

There is enough money to pay the interest.obama is bound by law to do so
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BA Deere
Honored Advisor

Re: OptionEye.....Oct. 15th

Headlines are 'Investors selling US Treasuries'....that is the canary croaking in the coal mine, welcome to your new job Janet Yellen. Certain voters of the "low information" persuasion feel all we need to do is tax those dastardly Koch brothers more to make the books balance...we shall see. Meanwhile corn is so cheap that we may actually use it in our "corn stove" this season.
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Re: OptionEye.....Oct. 15th

Anything to fit the narrative.

 

They're selling very short dated bills, still a remarkable show of confidence that the market believes that even if there is a default it only affects the stuff inside 30 days maturity.

 

As Adam Smith famously said, "there is a lot of ruin in a nation."

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teaspoon73
Senior Contributor

Re: OptionEye.....Oct. 15th

  Do you think the Chinese are buying any treasuries this week?

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roarintiger1
Honored Advisor

Re: OptionEye.....Oct. 15th

China???          Treasuries = Grain..................The answer to your question is yes.    Smiley Wink

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