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roarintiger1
Honored Advisor

Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015

Ok, so I just read that Informa and others are already putting out their predictions for 2015.  Really? Come on man!  The markets have a little upwards momentum and here these folks are, waiting in the wings with their wild predictons.    

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10 Replies
sw363535
Honored Advisor

Re: Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015

I wonder if this happens because they don't want us to spend too much time evaluating their previous predictions as compared to a real harvest.

 

Seems to me the Record production discussion of 2014 dried up with the passing of combines.

 

I still want to here someone state it as "Wow, once again in 2015 we are going to need near record crops to meet our demand.

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Shaggy98
Senior Advisor

Re: Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015

This very question leads to another question.  Do very few make cropping plans based on what is best for the soil or the long range outlook of their operations?  Or is it mainly what will make me the most money this coming year.

 

2015 cropping plans should reach much further than the fall season of 2015.

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Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015

It's all about the $$$

The amount of $ available to pit it in, the amount expected over expenses

Here in much of the I States some of the things that you mentioned are fringe production area things.
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Shaggy98
Senior Advisor

Re: Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015

Who you calling fringe area Hobby, I averaged over 105 BPA on all milo acres last year.  Smiley Very Happy

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Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015

Case rested... Milo is a fringe area crop. 😉

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WCMO
Senior Advisor

Re: Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015

Actually, not even sure how to get rid of milo around here, elevator's don't take it anymore.  Last year, local elevator didn't even take in wheat.

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Shaggy98
Senior Advisor

Re: Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015

Maybe, but locally for me it's paying a premium at least for 2014.

 

Screen Shot 12-28-14 at 08.20 PM.PNG

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wrightcattle
Veteran Advisor

Re: Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015, Evidently the

perdiction folks are assuming the BR weather is going to be really good this season too.

 

whole deal is weather forecasting anyway....the more things change the more supposed need for an updated forecast LOL.

 

 

Only 1 thing Never changes: it's that everything changes, everything changes.

 

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jec22
Veteran Advisor

Re: Perspective planting acres predictions for 2015, Evidently the

Corn prices haven't fallen off a cliff yet.  4.46 corn for June, pretty hard to sell anything now with that kind of carry.

 

 

LVD Eddyville, NACM YC US#2YC TRUCK

 

Basis current as of 2014-12-28 09:01:02 PM CT

 

 

 

Quote TypeTime of ShipmentBasis AmountFutures SymbolFutures PriceFlat PriceFactorFactor Value
Bid 12/19/2014 - 12/31/2014 -0.1800 CH5 4.1350 3.9550 n.a. n.a.
Bid 01/01/2015 - 01/15/2015 -0.1600 CH5 4.1350 3.9750 n.a. n.a.
Bid 01/16/2015 - 01/31/2015 -0.1400 CH5 4.1350 3.9950 n.a. n.a.
Bid 02/01/2015 - 02/28/2015 -0.1200 CH5 4.1350 4.0150 n.a. n.a.
Bid 03/01/2015 - 03/31/2015 -0.1000 CH5 4.1350 4.0350 n.a. n.a.
Bid 04/01/2015 - 04/30/2015 -0.1300 CK5 4.2175 4.0875 n.a. n.a.
Bid 05/01/2015 - 05/31/2015 -0.1000 CK5 4.2175 4.1175 n.a. n.a.
Bid 06/01/2015 - 06/30/2015 -0.1500 CN5 4.2825 4.1325 n.a. n.a.
Bid 07/01/2015 - 07/31/2015 -0.1200 CN5 4.2825 4.1625 n.a. n.a.
Bid 08/01/2015 - 08/31/2015 -0.1500 CU5 4.3050 4.1550 n.a. n.a.
Bid 09/01/2015 - 09/15/2015 -0.1300 CU5 4.3050 4.1750 n.a. n.a.
Bid 09/16/2015 - 09/30/2015 -0.1000 CU5 4.3050 4.2050 n.a. n.a.
Bid 10/01/2015 - 10/15/2015 -0.2000 CZ5 4.3725 4.1725 n.a. n.a.
Bid 10/16/2015 - 10/31/2015 -0.3000 CZ5 4.3725 4.0725 n.a. n.a.
Bid 11/01/2015 - 11/15/2015 -0.2500 CZ5 4.3725 4.1225 n.a. n.a.
Bid 11/16/2015 - 11/30/2015 -0.1500 CZ5 4.3725 4.2225 n.a. n.a.
Bid 12/01/2015 - 12/31/2015 -0.1000 CZ5 4.3725 4.2725 n.a. n.a.
Bid 01/01/2016 - 01/31/2016 -0.1600 CH6 4.4500 4.2900 n.a. n.a.
Bid 02/01/2016 - 02/28/2016 -0.1300 CH6 4.4500 4.3200 n.a. n.a.
Bid 03/01/2016 - 03/31/2016 -0.1000 CH6 4.4500 4.3500 n.a. n.a.
Bid 04/01/2016 - 04/30/2016 -0.1200 CK6 4.5100 4.3900 n.a. n.a.
Bid 05/01/2016 - 05/31/2016 -0.0800 CK6 4.5100 4.4300 n.a. n.a.
Bid 06/01/2016 - 06/30/2016 -0.1000 CN6 4.5650 4.4650 n.a. n.a.
Bid 07/01/2016 - 07/31/2016 -0.1000 CN6 4.5650 4.4650 n.a. n.a.