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Veteran Advisor

Revised projections, 134,000 deaths by Aug.

I kinda knew they'd have to revise their projections but they almost doubled it.  It seems they were force to take into consideration the failure of the Red States to implement and maintain mitigation measures or adequate testing & contact-tracing. Those states will experience a very prolonged plateau of relatively high death rates.  Meanwhile, those current hot spots, the Northeast,etc  are moving rapidly to roll out testing & tracing programs.  NY will hire 17,000 tracers.

  Apparently, despite what trump says, testing is still a problem.  The US has apparently only increased testing by 50% from April 1 to May 1. 

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Senior Advisor

Re: Revised projections, 134,000 deaths by Aug.

Well, their previous upwardly revised estimate of 74K isn't going to last the week.

That's one of the more cautious models, and they're all just citing the median projection. 

The 95% estimate on that one is like half a million. Only 5% probability, by their estimates, but still.

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Veteran Advisor

Re: If you look at the state by state details.....

If you look at the state by state details you see that the Red States will continue at current peaks for two months.  Most of the extra deaths will come from them.  And that's with just the relaxation of their current mediocre mitigation measures.  It's clear that they aren't going to even try to wait for a vaccine.  They're going for herd immunity whatever the cost in lives.

  I hope they've said their goodbyes to Grandma and Grandpa.  Now's a good time to buy that funeral insurance, almost sure to need it.

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Senior Advisor

Re: If you look at the state by state details.....

BTW, for the justtheflu crowd, the number of younger, otherwise healthy people dying is similar to the total in a tough flu season- which is mostly made up of people with some sort of impairment. Very, very few younger, healthy people die of flu.

The other 10X are just the excess eaters, as they used to say in the Third Reich.

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Veteran Advisor

This isn't marketing, please send to the forum!

You two sheep need to move out of marketing talk and stick to the cesspool aka the forum!

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Senior Advisor

Re: This isn't marketing, please send to the forum!

Well, we did have some folks posting homicidal falsehoods here.

And anyway, the only marketing to do is 4 months ago and 2 years forward.

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Veteran Advisor

Re: This isn't marketing, please send to the forum!

I hate to say....but the ag markets

Are broken....the outfit paying

The bill to keep the lights on here

Profits from the increasing insanity....higher and higher

Equipment costs....higher seed

And chemical prices...and oh,

The commodity groups running

Full page ads.

Anyhow....one thing to note....

Seems we have become comfortable with letting people

Die.....perhaps we have now

Morphed....from preventing

The unborn from living...to

Now letting the living die.

We have become a disposible

Society......to a point where

Nothing matters....people dying,

Markets broken.....and we are

Told there is nothing wrong..

Never have we seen something

Trade neg on the board to the

Extent a week ago or so....

So tell me.....does marketing

Even exist ?

The variables are so huge...a farmer....has not a chance.

Do i sell now...before it gets worse..

Is it going to get better, so should

We hold ?

We are told we are heading to

A depression to the like of the

1930's....or talk of punish china

By freezing their assets here....

But good will that do...you must

Make those assets liquid....but to

Do so would hurt economy more

Since many americans either work

For or do business with.

There is no longer marketing.

The computer programs are broke

Due to such strange data....

Now with talk of even more corn..

Demand down....im hearing a 1

In frount of corn....think other

Commodities will fare better ?

South america...developing...

Able to raise two crops a year.

 

Is the end here ?

I hear we now have super hornets

Now in washington state.

 

 

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Senior Advisor

Re: This isn't marketing, please send to the forum!

I’m cautiously skeptical of the leaked CDC projection for 3000 deaths/day. 

I hope it is just a matter where having been humiliated by constantly releasing “positive” projections that were soon proven false, they want to be able to say “see, those sheeple overreacted” 

Although a chronic plateau of 1-2000/day is not going to be fun, or permit economic recovery.

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Advisor

Possible glitch in the herd immunity approach

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Senior Contributor

Re: This isn't marketing, please send to the forum!

They won't leave, they are trying to propagandize their beliefs to us.  If they repeat it enough, they think everyone will believe them.  They respond to their own posts, the mods don't seem to care.  It seems we have been infiltrated, but I am not sure by what you would call them.