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Senior Advisor

Seriously. Is anyone watching the long term maps

12.2 and 3.2
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Senior Contributor

Re: Seriously. Is anyone watching the long term maps

I haven't been watching them that closely for the whole corn belt, but have been keeping tabs on the long term forcasts for my area.

4 days ago, we were supposed to have a 7 to 9 day stretch of hotter than average weather, with almost zero chance of rain.

2 days ago, we were supposed to get rain 2 days ago, and also yesterday, 90% chance of more than 3/4 inch, and several days of cooler weather.   Instead, we got a big sprinkle, and about 4 hours of below normal temperatures, before the heat inexed popped back over 100.

Today, we have chances of rain the next 4 days, from 20 to 60% depending on the day, with temperatures to vary from day to day from above to below normal. 

They can't get the weather right 2 days ahead, so I have no idea how they expect to predict what it will be like in 20-30 days with any accuracy.


What I DO know, is that in the last 3-4 days, the dryland pivot corners, and any dryland field not in a bottom, went from looking very, very nice, to looking very, very hurting.   If it doesn't rain within the next 2 days, I think they can kiss goodbye any hopes of yields above 70 BU/AC or so, except for a few bottoms or subirrigated ground.

What I am seeing, is the results of a long cool.wet spell, that lasted until some of the first planted corn was about ready to tassel.   As many know, once tassels appear, the roots go no deeper.   So, we have shallow rooted corn, that just can't reach down to where the moisture is, and it is burning up, at an alarmingly fast pace.

Veteran Advisor

Re: Seriously. Is anyone watching the long term maps

8/12/15
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Advisor

Re: just gotta laugh, heck

thee trend is an Early freeze this year ( Everywhere ).

heck there may not B 10 B corn, Nor 2 B beans in the usa.  MO

 

( gonna be plenty of cheap  Feed  for cattle, though )

 

Perhaps, Pray to Jesus, Win a Lotto.  MO

 

 

.

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Senior Contributor

Re: Seriously. Is anyone watching the long term maps

 
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Senior Contributor

Re: Seriously. Is anyone watching the long term maps

What the heck are you smoking wright cattle.👌😜
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Advisor

Re: joe79, it's just Thee Obvious Weather Trend.

this year.

 

perhaps supposed big  smart dogs like yourself can just keep on following the big dog spin.

good Luck to ya.  LOL

 

 

 

 

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Senior Contributor

Re: Seriously. Is anyone watching the long term maps

I look at those maps everyday.  If they end up verifying it could get pretty ugly.  Your numbers could end up being close.  You have been preaching those numbers for some time now.  Long before the forecasts turned hot and dry.  Why would your yield forecast not be even lower now than it was say a month ago?  I too have been concerned about hot and dry in late summer for some time.  If it doesn't pan out though you could very well be over a billion bushels too low again just like the last several years.

Senior Advisor

Re: Seriously. Is anyone watching the long term maps

If it's bad enough we go to 11.8
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Esteemed Advisor

Re: Seriously. Is anyone watching the long term maps

In Indiana we can't watch the long term maps MT, power won't stay on long enough between storms to get them downloaded! Smiley Frustrated