One thing that I have noticed
In the Ohio and Indiana tour, the corn that was estimated at 170-180 bu/a sure looked questionable, "to me"
If that corn does yield what they say, then we have better corn than I think, in our fields
Maybe kernel size, wt. is different "here"
However, there is no way those samples would yield 170-180 "here"
I agree with the samples of less or more than that range of yield, as being very possible
I also question how anybody can get an acccurate yield with so much variable corn, often in the same row, much less different parts of the field
It is human nature to want to sample, some thing that looks slightly better than the field average
I can't estimate my own fields because of variability [wet or rain damage] resulted in a lot of tip back
I can find an easy 50 bu. difference in 200'. Some stalks side by side
Maybe a stranger could do better, but I am not convinced
Just some things that look questionable to me.
I will admit I don't have a better way to do it
I have an idea the market price is going to wait for harvest to decide
Simply because this yr. is so variable
I also think "no way we have what USDA reported, although they may be giving themselves a way to back track, over time
Notice how corn price is slowly going up. The trade/market is also in doubt about USDA, although I am not yet in the sub 160 camp
I would like to know the acres harvested. Less than many think, might be the surprise, although not a major market mover
Use those farm bins if you have them
Store some for the neighbour if your crop is short and bins are available. That may have some issues and not for everybody
Just some thoughts
