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Frequent Contributor

Re: Welcome to loonie land

How about Utterback calling the top in the bean market on Valentine's Day at the Louisville Farm Show?  I would have missed out on delivering quite a few $14 beans had I dumped on that advice.

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Advisor

Re: Welcome to loonie land

Good one hobby!

Senior Contributor

Re: Welcome to loonie land

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Veteran Contributor

Re: Welcome to loonie land


@farmerguy89 wrote:
My corn pollinated in July... So I'm not too worried. I don't get why guys need to go after the super long stuff, when the science says it doesn't necessarily make more yield... But I digress, everyone is better than me anyways at going in early.

Besides, If everyone gets to half milk line w the yield potential we have, the losses are minimal and yields huge.

Current El Niño trend dictates that we likely don't get frost early at all... Averages tend to average out: we are owed good weather to square up with the cold weather we had. Sure you can argue that it doesn't owe you. I like to argue what is probably true and the chances of this going the wrong way is low

Your corn pollinated in July so you are not too worried.  When in July? Perhaps you were one of the lucky areas, that got in early?  July & August 2014 have been the coldest in years.  As far as "long day" corn talk, many switched maturities.

 

We planted 92 day corn, from May 26 to June 9th.  It was the first we could get on the land, as for many in Ontario.  Now, the corn does not even have a yellow colour yet.  It pollinated from July 26-August 10th.  Some Ontario corn was still pollinating last week!

 

Half milk line, and big yields?  I feed livestock, and already the feed trade is bracing for low test weight corn.  Ontario Ministry of Agriculture and Food also recognizes we have a long way to go for 50% of the province.

 

We are not owed anything from the weather, we need a good fall, AND I pray we do.

 

You can agrue what is probable and true, for you; but you are ignoring the facts for a lot of us in this province.  I have read your portrayals all summer, and thought it was time to say something,

 

I dont agree with your rosey picture for all of Ontario.

 

We had the warmest day of the entire summer, yesterday!  We needed it!  Now its back to cool temperatures again.

 

Lets get through the next full moon on September 8th, before we start counting our chickens!

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clay how much new crop

corn and beans do you have sold.  he made it up easily with that advice.

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Re: Welcome to loonie land

btw clay since the nat crowd like you got me booted from nat i will rrspond to your comment about proag.  What you fail to grasp even as you bet yourself taking a selfie kissing my rear is this.  The crop is so massive it will take a few years to chew through the excess.  If we are looking at a 2-2.5 billion carryover they market knows it doesn't have to bid for the crop until carryover is below 1.   How many  years will it take to chew through that huge carryover.  We won't need big acres or big yields next year and the market won't bid it.  The job of the market will be to discourage production.  So how cares if we bottom in september or may we will utimately have too much.  The MT's of the world may need to store this years corn into 2016 or 2017 for a chance at  6-8 dollar corn again.  Cheers buddy.

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Senior Advisor

Re: Welcome to loonie land

Is Jeasica Rabbit around. See if she wants to go get a drink
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Frequent Contributor

Re: Welcome to loonie land

A) I didn't have a **bleep** thing to do with you getting kicked off that other site.  

 

B) I have some new crop sold, and my 2013 crop was gone before we started planting this spring.

 

C) 2.5 billion carryover?   Yep, it will take probably 500 years to chew through that.  Cheap corn until 2514.  Would that make you happy?  BTW, how about we come back and revisit this on 8/27/2015 and see if we have 2.5 B carryout.  

 

D) I am a real person, who doesn't hide behind a fake screen name and troll.  

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Advisor

Re: Welcome to loonie land

My corn is yellow at r3 to r4. That puts me a week or two behind.. Half milk line is 90% yield.

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Veteran Contributor

Re: Welcome to loonie land

At best I find your characterization of the ENTIRE ontario corn crop, based on your back yard; entertaining.

 

At worse grossly misleading. 

 

Talk to elevators, agricultural cca's, and ontario ministry of agriculture and food crop specialists; on the state of crops accross in ontario.

 

WE ALWAYS SEEM TO GET THERE, WE HOPE WE DO, but yield and grade is nothing more than pure speculation at this point.

 

This crop has a LONG WAY to go, and a SHORT TIME to get there.

 

We will agree to DISAGREE...

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