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Palouser
Senior Advisor

Wheat tour pics, Day 2

I received some pics from the wheat tour with the projected yields for the fields they were taken of.  It's quite clear the methodology for evaluating yield breaks down under extreme conditions. Some fields are at deaths door and yet have projections of high twenties or a little more. True, the plants are alive and if it starts raining and keeps raining then potential is theoretically there. On the other hand, one look tells you if rain doesn't come in a matter of a week it is the kiss of death. One pic was of heading and only 10" high with a yield pegged at 28., all curled and blue. Keep in mind, I'm not criticising the results. You have to have some sort of methodology that results in consistency from year to year.

 

It would be hard to deal with if it was your crop.

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19 Replies
c-x-1
Veteran Advisor

Re: Wheat tour pics, Day 2

Palouser,

 

will you be able to post some of the photos?? thank you -c

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Palouser
Senior Advisor

Re: Wheat tour pics, Day 2

Sorry, I can't. They are proprietary pics from a newsletter and not in a form to be converted easily for a sample.

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elcheapo
Veteran Advisor

Re: Wheat tour pics, Day 2

This "report" should have caused a limit
Move.

Today.....down double digits

It does not make sence to me, I don't
understand.
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roarintiger1
Honored Advisor

Re: Wheat tour pics, Day 2

elcheapo, It's not making "cents" to me either!

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Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: Wheat tour pics, Day 2

U.S. Production            

      2014      
Corn= 13.750
Soybeans= 3.420

2014-15 Crop Reserves
                
Corn= 2.010
Soybeans= 235
Wheat= 590

2013-14 Crop Reserves
          
Corn= 1.325
Soybeans= 132
Wheat= 590

 

There is NO problem(s) plenty to go around.

Prices should go down when there is an awfully big surplus/supply.

 

It is as good as in the bin/pipeline now. We've been told by our benevolent govt all is good.

 

I'm sure Maryland will make up any Minnesota/Wisconsin shortfalls.

 

 

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jennys_mn
Veteran Advisor

Re: Wheat tour pics, Day 2

Hobby, I'm not so sure Maryland can pull it off this year - just heard something about sinkholes developing because of all the rain. But I'm sure if Maryland can't do it, Rhode Island can! Rah, Rah, Boom, Bah!

Jen
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Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: Wheat tour pics, Day 2

To all the users out there Christmas came 7 months early this year.

 

Lets see... oh yea

 

Oh Joy... Deck the Halls and all that stuff.

 

Rinse lather repete.

 

Now back to reality... beans are in the teens, China is buying their last third in the $15 range instead of the $17 range. their little scheme worked ... again. Not as good as before but it worked.

 

Corn is going to a carry out less than that published. SA did not over plant corn this time. Ours will not be a blow your doors off year in the corn fields. Going to beTOO many TOO late acres for that. The western fringe will not be a factor with the current weather patterns.

 

My western fringe acres have between 16 and 36 inches of moisture in the top 10 feet. Hot and still windy out there. The 3 inches of rain it averaged last week will not last long. Just enough for weed growth.

 

 

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elcheapo
Veteran Advisor

Re: Wheat tour pics, Day 2

I hear fellows in Maine are draining their
Cranberry bogs and planting corn and
Beans.

That will cure or supply problem.

I noticed something interesting looking
At the satellite vegatation index....there
Was more green in AZ than in many
hrw areas

I'm going to call some friends in the wheat
Genetics business. I'm going to suggest
Crossing wheat and catus
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sw363535
Honored Advisor

Re: Wheat tour pics, Day 2

Palouser it finally stopped trying to blow the outhouse over for a day. --- after 8 straight days of 55-65 mph gusts and a steady 45-55.

 

I put corn seed in a planter today and the 25 empty sacks blew away from me in three different directions -------- I know, ----you used to have a hired man that worked that slow.  🙂

 

Wind down enough I got this one picture of this years best for miles around dry land wheat field.

 

IMG_0522.JPG

 

The nice big green stuff in the ditch where some snow lay a month ago is heading out at about 6 to 8 inches of height.  The brown areas has no heads and the rest of the field is heading and wilting at about 4 inches.

ten days ago when this round of wind started, this field had 25+ bu potential.  Now 5-8 bushel if it rains tomorrow.

 

 

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