SD:
I looked at the numbers...
Middle of this week, China officially claimed they had around 400 cases and 17 dead -> 4.25% casualty rate
Two days later, around 800 cases and 25 dead -> 3.1% casualty rate .... ???
How is it possible cases doubled in a mere 2 days but the casualty rate dropped by 1%?
For 25 deaths and 800 infections out of a population of 1.4 billion, would Beijing:
* Cancel all Lunar New Year festivities (for many Chinese, the only time they see their families is during LNY)
* Lock down multiple large cities and do it with TANKS and military
* Order a whole province with 60 million people to "stay inside"
Like you said, viruses can go different ways. But I look at Ebola -- first brought to awareness in 1976 and still almost as lethal a killer 40+ years later. It's a slow learner except it is getting more easily transmissible.
All viruses' survival hinge on relationship/availability of host and transmissibility. Wuhan Virus (WV) is said to be as transmissible as it gets but it's not a 100% mortality virus like Ebola was when it first appeared (which is why Ebola kept flaming out in the human population), so WV has the ability to kill more people than Ebola as WV strives to infect 8 billion people. Plus they still don't know which animal was the reservoir for WV.
BUT the market they said WV originated in is a mere 10-ish miles from a Level 4 biohazard facility, which raised eyebrows when China first built it a few years ago because China basically had no experience in those matters.
Anyway, WATCH the ports. If they close port-containing cities, the repercussions will rock the world.
***That 100,000 figure is said to have been/is being provided by incinerator operators in China
