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Advisor

another really wet drought?

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1497884140

 

Pretty early for a TS to be finding its way into the gulf. Current steering does put the bulk of the moisture to the east of major growing areas but probably still likely to increase humidity.

 

I recall some form of academic work concluding that early season tropical storm tracks tend to be some degree of indication for the season's trend- ocean temps, steering winds etc. aren't entirely transitory.

 

Probably doesn't help the western belt, particularly the NW as much, and it trends drier.

 

The SW monsoons are due to fire up sometime here and that's where they tend to get moisture from- we'll see how that looks.

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4 Replies
Advisor

Re: another really wet drought?

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Advisor

Re: another really wet drought?

Cold pool off Baja and hot on land in the SW portends a pretty strong monsoon for the SW.

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Senior Advisor

Re: another really wet drought?

6-14 inches for the delta mid south and coastal areas.

Um that's too much in August but way too much in June.

That water is goin to hurt not help

Mean while the main growing areas of the cornbelt see shrinking rain totals.
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Senior Advisor

Re: another really wet drought?

Keep in mind this crop is two weeks behind in many areas. The mid range maps aren't even poking into the pollination slot yet. let alone fill.

Trend is still for a hot summer.

We shall see.
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