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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: the future of ethanol

The conversation about clearing the way for nukes- hopefully thorium of something better- is a good one because the ultimate goal will be to replace natural gas for the base load/peaker part of the mix.

But for now, yes, it is gas that is gobbling up coal's share and it can handle the rest for a couple of decades. And wind and solar will continue to take a larger share. Solar is now the cheapest power ever produced with the possible exception of the very most prime hydro locations- which were long ago exploited.

But it will take a 20 year timeline to figure out what's next and be ready for it.

The "yeah, but they'll kill the nukes!!!!" thing is just a distraction in the current timeframe. Except that some of those old, high cost plants that are operating 20 years beyond their planned obsolesence probably need to be retired.

 

 

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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: the future of ethanol

You can, in fact, burn coal, gas, oil at some future date should it become necessary.

That stuff has been sitting down there for millions of years and I'm confident it isn't going anywhere unless it is extracted and burned.

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sw363535
Honored Advisor

continual lies

You don't understand how "deregulated" power markets work.

When demand is low and base load still has to be putting along,-say on a typical winter night,-power is dirt cheap.

When it is 100 in Dallas and Houston and every air conditioner is maxed out, it is very expensive.

The 6% or so of the TX generation mix that was N TX wind was basically built by private investors (T. Bonie was one) to capitalize on those price peaks. So they didn't bother to spend the extra 10% or so for de-icing packages. 

"Mandating" that they do so might have "cost" the average consumer a buck a year, or something, but it was real money for those greedy bastards, who, BTW, own the TX Statehouse, two Senators and much of the Congressional delegation lock, stock and barrel.

And in any case, it was the failure of gas, coal and even nukes owing to failure for anybody to tell the greedy bastards to winterize the damn control components.

One of the most shameful, bald faced lies in recent memory- in a time when there's steep competition.

What time of year is natural gas cheapest?
The pricing of natural gas typically follows demand for the commodity, which is why prices are usually highest during winter months.
Is it a good time to buy heating oil?
The cheapest month to buy heating oil is undoubtedly summer
 
"The holiday  season is filled with a great deal of warmth and light—not only from the joy and generosity that the season brings, but also from the start of darker, colder days, which require significantly more heat and electricity to keep homes warm and illuminated."  the department of energy.   "

This increased demand requires a steady and reliable energy supply, and fossil fuels play an important role in meeting that demand. In fact, nearly half of all U.S. households use natural gas to heat their homes, and another 5 percent of households use home heating oil, while 5 percent of homes use propane.

Electricity accounts for another 40 percent of home heating, and fossil fuels are the primary fuel source for generating electricity. For instance, in 2017, fossil fuels were among the most-used sources for electricity generation in 35 states. In 18 of those states, coal provided the greatest share of fuel for generating electricity."

Sd you continually spew nonsense and need to occasionally check your work..... nearly every statement is false.  A progressives worst nightmare.

Texas highest utility load this year was February like everywhere else in the US.  Winter is always the biggest demand load throughout the US.  Air conditioners run portions of each day.............. but you're not capable of reasoning this stuff out.   Way too many voters live up north in the snow in houses with poor circulation and heaters running full time ... Texans get more fresh air and are harder to pull the wool over.

 

 
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Hobbyfarmer
Honored Advisor

Re: continual lies

See over a hundred "Warren Buffett fans" from my mailbox, kind of a high dollar joke.

L a st winter when it was minus 21F they were absolutely worthless. No wind =no power generated

Same thing on the hottest days, very little breeze =no energy generated.

Those are the days most critical/crucial and they take a vacation ...

Only a fair weather friend...

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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: continual lies

ERCOT previous peak winter demand 66 Million kwh. There's no way of knowing what the demand was during the crisis because the system failed catastrophically.

Summer=74M, with a new record near 77M expected this summer.

Why bother to check when you can just lie?

 

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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: continual lies

BTW, the large utilty customers in TX mostly have smart meters.

A modicum of planning could have rationed power and averted the whole thing, even if it never needed to happen in the first place if the state wasn't run on behalf of evil, greedy, lyin' bastards.

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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: continual lies

I'd much prefer to live off 70% power for a while than be subject to lengthy blackouts.

But if you want to freeze on account of the "free market" be my guest.

BTW, excess death tallies indicate about 700 people perished.

Although fortunately a lot of them were already half dead.

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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: continual lies

Home heating in TX largely relies on electricity- heat pumps, mostly.

Arctic incursions aren't all that unusual in TX but are less frequent than high heat is in the summer. The occasional winter peak doesn't even fully represent how much more summer power is an issue.

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sdholloway56
Senior Advisor

Re: continual lies

So do people who live inside the RW bubble actually believe this stuff?

Or do they just spew lies to have fun ownin' "the libs?"

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ddtfarm1
Frequent Contributor

Re: continual lies

I'm sure the Texans believe they have it all squared away.  If you disagree,  they'll puff up and threaten you with some form of violence, withdraw from the US, or promote a coup if they don't get their way. And that's just the news from this weekend.