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Waterlooiowa
Frequent Contributor

weather advisors

Just wondered how much importance others put in NWS forecasts,local tv or if any of the private forecasters are significantly and consistently better than others.One local tv station seems like the meteorologists disagree with each other quite often,one favors one model the other a different one,.

 

Seperate note,does anyone follow the 5-7 day QPF.It always seems to be forecasting an inch of rain a week out but I rarely get half of what the forecast amount was.

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9 Replies
c-x-1
Veteran Advisor

Re: weather advisors

[A].com has Jen for forecasting the weather... she tends to be ahead of other sources  - on balance.

 

edit: is grateful/lucky to have her, that is.

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Jim Meade / Iowa City
Senior Advisor

Re: weather advisors

My understanding is that the NWS is the basis for all the forecasts.  Some local forecasters seem to be better than others, but that is only my impression.  The question is, as you suggested, which model is favored and how well the local forecasters are at the micro weathe for their area.

I guess I don't use long term forecasts all that much.  I look out 3-4 days for making hay, and of course look at near-term weather for spraying.

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booked
Veteran Contributor

Re: weather advisors

waterlooiowa This post is not about the NWS but about local forecasters. Try this link http://blogs.wsj.com/deals/2011/01/31/rothschilds-buy-majority-stake-in-weather-central/ Now if you don't know who the Rothschilds are use google. Here are 4 condensed sentence's that might speed up the process of what your research might uncover. "These are the 6 media companies that exist today. There used to be 88. These 6 all get their news from Reuters and the Associated Press. Reuters owns the AP and Rothschilds own Reuters. " Now back to why would you own a weather forecasting service. And could it be some of the weird forecasts are just hand picked stooges that might not really know there trade and have got the call from the owners of the station to report something for OTHER reasons like certain parties have a huge long or short on and need help pushing the trade into a certain direction causing chartists and computer algorithms to move with impunity their way??? I KNOW what I just have written might just brand me as a complete wacko. But if you really think about it why on earth would you own so much news feeds? Just to be fair? I thought competition was the way to fairness.
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425Cat
Advisor

Re: weather advisors

They must be short beans
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Jim Meade / Iowa City
Senior Advisor

Re: weather advisors

Some people can find a conspiracy theory in the sun rising in the East.

The question is how distorting weather information can affect the producer?  How does one distort weather information in contrast to the NWS and make it convincing over time?  Was Abe Lincoln wrong?

The day to day weather is pretty hard to manipulate, it would seem to me, because people would start saying "that is not what I'm seeing out my window".  Long term weather will be subject to a lot of different forecasts.  Some people have very important actions, even lives, at stake and it is hard for me to believe that weather reporting can be distored to any significant extent for any  great time.  Of course, Abe Lincon could have been wrong.

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sw363535
Honored Advisor

Re: weather advisors

The concentration of power in the worlds economic activity should be noted and is not a conspiracy issue.

 

One reason COP of most every crop is more inflexible every year.

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booked
Veteran Contributor

Re: weather advisors

Jim

 

Reread what I wrote.

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425Cat
Advisor

Re: weather advisors

Better read up on Golden Saks Jim
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Nigel
Veteran Contributor

Re: weather advisors

Reuters=Thomson Family...not Rothschilds                                                                                                                                                              

AP housed in same building as the Daily News (33rd street)...Reuters in Times Square (42nd Street)  

Reuters uses two weather models 

EC 

http://www.ecmwf.int/ 

 

and....

 

GFS  

 

http://weather.rap.ucar.edu/model/?model=gfs 

 

neither is associated with the AP.