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Honored Advisor
Posts: 7,599
Registered: ‎07-18-2011
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yield guesses keep coming

Noticing some more yield guesses being published.  

Stone had kansas beans at 42 bushel...

August was just too cool and wet   so that is going to be hard to reach for an average

But it must have been hot and wet in Iowa and Illinois and Indiana with those 55-56 bushel predictions.....

 

Very impressive........ good thing they got that our before the frost.......  showing 49.8 for a national average and 166.9 for corn.....

You guys up north will need to have a couple of state averages of 60 to make up for Kansas

Veteran Advisor
Posts: 947
Registered: ‎10-18-2016
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Re: yield guesses keep coming

Soybean fields are looking weedier this year than ever.  They universally look perfect until the first of August and then the waterhemp shoot through the canopy.  It's getting to be an epidemic.  I'm not sure what it does to yield.  It comes pretty late.  Maybe no effect at all.  Maybe it takes a couple of bushel.  I have no idea.  But they are sure ugly to look at.

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Senior Advisor
Posts: 1,061
Registered: ‎05-20-2010
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Re: yield guesses keep coming

[ Edited ]

Back in January I thought 161 and 45 were the most likely yields this year. The growing season

is over and I'll shift slightly. 162.5 corn (but 500,000 less harvested acres than NASS)

and 44 beans are probably the real numbers.

 

Corn likes a cool summer, so despite the many stresses it will be ok. Beans on the

other hand, cold and dry in august, terrible for them, and it is getting very dry in spots.

Esteemed Advisor
Posts: 2,478
Registered: ‎04-29-2011
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Re: yield guesses keep coming

13.5 & 3.7

Advisor
Posts: 291
Registered: ‎01-16-2013
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Re: yield guesses keep coming

The ensilage Crop Insurance estimates by RMA in this area are running 13 to 35 bu/acre on early cut silage corn.   I have some of the earliest corn that didn't have to be replanted, planted on April 17.   Moisture under 24 and will start on Tuesday.   I'm guessing 50 max on corn.....lie detector aka weigh wagon will tell the story.   I'll let you know.    We have had 2/10 August rain, not good on beans.   Lots of Dicamba driift issues as well.   Rainfall total here since May 18 is 1.95".

 

 

Contributor
Posts: 17
Registered: ‎06-04-2016
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Re: yield guesses keep coming

@JimMeade, Same thing here. I put down my three pre's, then hit it twice in June with roundup and FlexStar, bean fields looked great on the 4th of July. What a great feeling seeing that waterhemp sizzle under the Flex with not much affect on the beans (your results may vary). Now my fields look like I planted and then went on vacation!  I agree that I don't think there's going to be much impact on yield at this point, but those small seeds are heavy enough that it's hard to blow them out of the combine (at least my 20-year old one). Last year I had to pull the core out of the bin into my grain cart and bleed it into the following five loads to avoid getting docked for FM.  Got dinged on one load anyway.  This year I got a grain cleaner to sift that out as it's going into the bin.  Next year, Extend beans. If I have to, I'll pay the neighbors the $4 difference to get Extend seed as well, even if they don't want to spray dicamba, just to be on the defense. Fortunately for me, most of the adjacent property is either pasture or crops out of rotation with mine, so I'm probably talking just 50 acres worth or so to cover a quarter-mile of drift.

Veteran Advisor
Posts: 1,225
Registered: ‎06-30-2010
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Re: yield guesses keep coming

Am not making actual guesses.  Crops in this area have looked good most of summer.  Corn generally planted a couple weeks later than "normal" due to cool/wet, then excess rain late April, caused some spotty stands and flooding/replants, dry and hot for a couple weeks in June caused some stand problems on soybeans, then excess moisture July-August with more flooding and cool temps, plus an incredible infestation of Japanese beetles in a broad area.  A couple of high-wind events in late June and early July caused some corn to gooseneck from different directions, so harvest could be interesting.  Earliest corn is getting close, moisture in mid-upper 20's.  Lots of rust in corn fields, and inconsistent stands, but yields will be good (above 10-year average, but below records, below trends).  Corn is a tough call due mostly to the inconsistent stands.  Soybeans also planted little later than "normal", yet plenty of moisture to get good growth.  Thinner stands are evident from the weed infestations that are now clearly visible above canopies.  Beans also tough to call on yield, inconsistent stands, weeds, relatively cool temps, and excess rain events.  Still anticipate a good yield (above 10-year average, but below records, below trends).

Advisor
Posts: 1,027
Registered: ‎05-13-2010
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Re: yield guesses keep coming

I'm at 163.5 corn and 45.5 beans. I question Fcs tones immensely since earlier in the year their guy was as low as 162.5. He is at 169 now.